Game Preview
The Toronto Raptors (2-12) have struggled mightily this season, riding a dismal seven-game losing streak into their matchup against the Indiana Pacers (6-7). Over their last 10 games, the Raptors are averaging just 112.4 points while surrendering 119.2, contributing to their 10% win rate during that stretch.
Toronto's offensive woes have been compounded by a 45.8% field goal percentage and a 33.4% clip from three over their previous 10 contests. On the glass, they've been nearly out-rebounded by 5 boards per game, grabbing just 44.3 rebounds. The Raptors' 29.4 assists indicate ball movement hasn't been a glaring issue, but their 13.8 turnovers have stalled possessions.
Meanwhile, the Pacers (6-7) have found more success, splitting their last 10 games behind a 115.5-point scoring average. They've shot a solid 48.9% from the field and just over 40% from deep, with a respectable 41.6 rebounds and 27.5 assists per outing. Indiana's 12.8 turnovers are an area they could tighten up, but they've been more disciplined than Toronto in that regard.
While both teams have struggled defensively of late, the Pacers have the edge on that end, allowing 116.6 points compared to the 119.2 surrendered by the reeling Raptors. Indiana's balanced offense and slightly stingier defense give them an advantage heading into this Eastern Conference clash against the slumping hosts.
The Indiana Pacers have been the more consistent team offensively this season, averaging 114.0 points per game on 48.9% shooting from the field. Their three-point shooting at 37.5% has been a strength. The Raptors, on the other hand, have struggled to score consistently, averaging just 112.2 points on a 45.5% field goal percentage.
Looking at recent form, the Pacers have maintained solid offensive numbers over their last 10 games, scoring 115.5 points per game on 48.9% shooting. Their three-point percentage has improved to 40.8% during this stretch. The Raptors' offensive woes have persisted, as they've averaged only 112.4 points on 45.8% shooting and a 33.4% three-point percentage over their last 10 games.
With the Pacers' superior offensive efficiency and the Raptors' scoring struggles, the over 238.5 total points seems like a reasonable bet, particularly if Indiana can continue their recent hot three-point shooting.