Today’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets: Free MLB Bets & Predictions
We use our own statistics tools to identify the most profitable MLB prop bets available each day. We evaluate bets based on the expected probability of winning the bet as well as the potential profit of the bet. We’ve developed tools that allow us to find the highest ROI MLB bets every day. We highlight our favorite MLB prop bets on this site each day. We do our best to provide the best MLB bets as well as identifying the most profitable player props each day, however it’s important to always use good bankroll management when deciding how much to bet, take a look at our guide to bankroll management.
In our daily article we select our favorite bets of the day, and try to lay out why it could be a good bet to place using data. For each bet we share the data on the matchup and give you the most important statistics to make informed bets.
Always remember that game conditions and betting lines may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Aaron Civale (CLE) Over 3.5 Total Strikeouts
Aaron Civale and the Cleveland Guardians will be facing the New York Yankees. Aaron Civale has a 4.92 ERA and 24.1% strikeout rate. Civale has been averaging 1.0 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go at least 4.0 innings which is extremely likely. The Yankees have a 22.5% strikeout rate and 11.0% swinging strike rate as well as a 18.5 ISO. I expect the Guardians to have a tight leash on Civale, since this is a must win and they have an awesome bullpen that is fresh. However, I think this is a good matchup for him if he gets rolling.
Nestor Cortes (NYY) Over 3.5 Total Strikeouts
Nestor Cortes and the New York Yankees will be facing the Cleveland Guardians. Nestor Cortes has a 2.44 ERA and 26.5% strikeout rate. Cortes has been averaging 1.0 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go at least 4.0 innings which is extremely likely. The Guardians have a 18.2% strikeout rate and 9.1% swinging strike rate as well as a 12.9 ISO. This line is just too low for Nestor. Over 4.5 strikeouts is also worth considering, but he may not go too deep.
Jurickson Profar (SD) Over 0.5 Total Hits
Jurickson Profar and the San Diego Padres will be facing the Philadelphia Phillies. Profar has a 33.1% on base percentage, 0.391 SLG, and 0.243 batting average. Profar also has a 110 wRC+. Zack Wheeler will be pitching for The Phillies and has a 2.82 ERA, 26.9% strikeout rate, 3.06 xFIP and 0.76 HR/9.
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