MLB Games Today
It is Monday, July 11 and there are 10 MLB games today, including 1 double header! The first MLB game of the day starts at 2:10 PM EST.
Every day, we provide a list of the best MLB prop bets available. Here are today’s top MLB player prop bets for maximum profit. If you’re new and wondering the best way to start betting for profit, take a look at our useful getting started with baseball betting guide! And if you enjoy this article, make sure to share it!
Today’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets: Free MLB Bets & Predictions
We use our own statistics tools to identify the most profitable MLB prop bets available each day. We evaluate bets based on the expected probability of winning the bet as well as the potential profit of the bet. We’ve developed tools that allow us to find the highest ROI MLB bets every day. We highlight our favorite MLB prop bets on this site each day. We do our best to provide the best MLB bets as well as identifying the most profitable player props each day, however it’s important to always use good bankroll management when deciding how much to bet, take a look at our guide to bankroll management.
In our daily article we select our favorite bets of the day, and try to lay out why it could be a good bet to place using data. For each bet we share the data on the matchup and give you the most important statistics to make informed bets.
Always remember that game conditions and betting lines may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Mitch Keller (PIT) Over 3.5 Total Strikeouts
Mitch Keller and the Pittsburgh Pirates will be facing the Miami Marlins. Mitch Keller has a 5.21 ERA and 19.5% strikeout rate. Keller has been averaging 0.9 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go at least 4.5 innings which is extremely likely. The Marlins have a 23.4% strikeout rate and 11.9% swinging strike rate as well as a 15.2 ISO. Available at DraftKings for -155.
Cal Quantrill (CLE) Over 3.5 Total Strikeouts
Cal Quantrill and the Cleveland Guardians will be facing the Chicago White Sox. Cal Quantrill has a 3.86 ERA and 14.7% strikeout rate. Despite Quantrill’s lower strikeout efficiency, the matchup is great for him today. The White Sox have a 20.7% strikeout rate and 11.8% swinging strike rate as well as a 12.4 ISO. Available at DraftKings for -155 and FanDuel for -175.
Max Fried (ATL) Over 4.5 Total Strikeouts
Max Fried and the Atlanta Braves will be facing the New York Mets. Max Fried has a 2.52 ERA and 23.5% strikeout rate. Fried has been averaging 0.9 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go at least 5.5 innings which is extremely likely given how well he has been performing. The Mets have a 19.8% strikeout rate and 10.5% swinging strike rate as well as a 14.7 ISO. Available at DraftKings for -160.
Nick Castellanos (PHI) Under 0.5 Total Runs
Nick Castellanos and the Philadelphia Phillies will be facing the St. Louis Cardinals. Castellanos has a 29.5% on base percentage, 0.376 SLG, and 0.248 batting average. Castellanos also has a 16.9% swinging strike percentage. Miles Mikolas will be pitching for The Cardinals and has a 2.72 ERA, 19.7% strikeout rate, 3.86 xFIP and 0.93 HR/9. Available at DraftKings for -165.