MLB Games Today
It is Sunday, July 3 and there are 15 MLB games today! The first MLB game of the day starts at 12:05 PM EST.
Every day, we provide a list of the best MLB prop bets available. Here are today’s top MLB player prop bets for maximum profit. If you’re new and wondering the best way to start betting for profit, take a look at our useful getting started with baseball betting guide! And if you enjoy this article, make sure to share it!
Today’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets: Free MLB Bets & Predictions
We use our own statistics tools to identify the most profitable MLB prop bets available each day. We evaluate bets based on the expected probability of winning the bet as well as the potential profit of the bet. We’ve developed tools that allow us to find the highest ROI MLB bets every day. We highlight our favorite MLB prop bets on this site each day. We do our best to provide the best MLB bets as well as identifying the most profitable player props each day, however it’s important to always use good bankroll management when deciding how much to bet, take a look at our guide to bankroll management.
In our daily article we select our favorite bets of the day, and try to lay out why it could be a good bet to place using data. For each bet we share the data on the matchup and give you the most important statistics to make informed bets.
Always remember that game conditions and betting lines may change throughout the day after this article is published.
MacKenzie Gore (SD) Over 4.5 Total Strikeouts
MacKenzie Gore and the San Diego Padres will be facing the Los Angeles Dodgers. MacKenzie Gore has a 3.34 ERA and 25.8% strikeout rate. Gore has been averaging 1.1 strikeouts per inning, which would only require him to go at least 3.6 innings which is extremely likely today. The Dodgers have a 22.3% strikeout rate and 10.3% swinging strike rate as well as a 18.0 ISO. Available at FanDuel for -135 and DraftKings for -140.
Luis Castillo (CIN) Under 6.5 Total Strikeouts
Luis Castillo and the Cincinnati Reds will be facing the Atlanta Braves. Castillo has a 3.32 ERA and 25.1% strikeout rate. The Braves have a 24.9% strikeout rate and 13.1% swinging strike rate as well as a 19.3 ISO. Available at FanDuel for -105, DraftKings for -105, and BetMGM for -105.
Carlos Carrasco (NYM) Under 5.5 Total Strikeouts
Carlos Carrasco and the New York Mets will be facing the Texas Rangers. Carrasco has a 4.85 ERA and 23.1% strikeout rate. Carrasco has been averaging 1.0 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go at least 6.0 innings which seems unlikely. The Rangers have a 23.0% strikeout rate and 13.2% swinging strike rate as well as a 15.8 ISO. Available at FanDuel for -130.
Devin Smeltzer (MIN) Over 3.5 Total Strikeouts
Devin Smeltzer and the Minnesota Twins will be facing the Baltimore Orioles. Devin Smeltzer has a 2.86 ERA and 15.8% strikeout rate. The Orioles have a 24.1% strikeout rate and 12.3% swinging strike rate as well as a 15.1 ISO. Available at PointsBet for -120, DraftKings for -125, and BetMGM for -125.
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) Over 0.5 Total Hits
Yordan Alvarez and the Houston Astros will be facing the Los Angeles Angels. Alvarez has a 40.8% on base percentage, 0.647 SLG, and 0.311 batting average. Alvarez also has a 199 wRC+. Jose Suarez will be pitching for The Angels and has a 4.36 ERA, 22.7% strikeout rate, 4.23 xFIP and 1.36 HR/9. Available at DraftKings for -185 and BetMGM for -190.
Santiago Espinal (TOR) Over 0.5 Total Hits
Santiago Espinal and the Toronto Blue Jays will be facing the Tampa Bay Rays. Espinal has a 32.4% on base percentage, 0.407 SLG, and 0.271 batting average. Espinal also has a 105 wRC+. Shane Baz will be pitching for The Rays and has a 3.38 ERA, 28.4% strikeout rate, 3.68 xFIP and 0.96 HR/9. Available at DraftKings for -145 and BetMGM for -150.