MLB Games Today
It is Monday, July 4 and there are 14 MLB games today, including 1 double header! The first MLB game of the day starts at 11:05 AM EST.
Every day, we provide a list of the best MLB prop bets available. Here are today’s top MLB player prop bets for maximum profit. If you’re new and wondering the best way to start betting for profit, take a look at our useful getting started with baseball betting guide! And if you enjoy this article, make sure to share it!
Today’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets: Free MLB Bets & Predictions
We use our own statistics tools to identify the most profitable MLB prop bets available each day. We evaluate bets based on the expected probability of winning the bet as well as the potential profit of the bet. We’ve developed tools that allow us to find the highest ROI MLB bets every day. We highlight our favorite MLB prop bets on this site each day. We do our best to provide the best MLB bets as well as identifying the most profitable player props each day, however it’s important to always use good bankroll management when deciding how much to bet, take a look at our guide to bankroll management.
In our daily article we select our favorite bets of the day, and try to lay out why it could be a good bet to place using data. For each bet we share the data on the matchup and give you the most important statistics to make informed bets.
Always remember that game conditions and betting lines may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Patrick Corbin (WSH) Under 5.5 Total Strikeouts
Patrick Corbin and the Washington Nationals will be facing the Miami Marlins. Corbin has a 6.06 ERA and 19.4% strikeout rate. Corbin has been averaging 0.9 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go at least 6.7 innings which seems unlikely. The Marlins have a 23.5% strikeout rate and 11.9% swinging strike rate as well as a 15.3 ISO. Available at DraftKings for -135, BetMGM for -160, and FanDuel for -140.
Kyle Freeland (COL) Under 4.5 Total Strikeouts
Kyle Freeland and the Colorado Rockies will be facing the Los Angeles Dodgers. Freeland has a 4.31 ERA and 15.4% strikeout rate. Freeland has been averaging 0.7 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go at least 5.7 innings which seems unlikely. The Dodgers have a 22.2% strikeout rate and 10.4% swinging strike rate as well as a 17.9 ISO. Available at DraftKings for -150 and FanDuel for -150.
Sean Manaea (SD) Over 5.5 Total Strikeouts
Sean Manaea and the San Diego Padres will be facing the Seattle Mariners. Sean Manaea has a 3.92 ERA and 25.8% strikeout rate. Manaea has been averaging 1.0 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go at least 6.0 innings which is extremely likely. The Mariners have a 22.6% strikeout rate and 10.8% swinging strike rate as well as a 14.9 ISO. Available at BetMGM for -150, PointsBet for -150, and DraftKings for -170.
Zach Plesac (CLE) Over 4.5 Total Strikeouts
Zach Plesac and the Cleveland Guardians will be facing the Detroit Tigers. Zach Plesac has a 3.86 ERA and 17.0% strikeout rate. Plesac has been averaging 0.7 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go at least 5.7 innings which is extremely likely. The Tigers have a 23.8% strikeout rate and 12.2% swinging strike rate as well as a 10.7 ISO. Available at FanDuel for +110, BetMGM for +100, and DraftKings for +100.
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) Over 0.5 Total Hits
Mike Yastrzemski and the San Francisco Giants will be facing the Arizona Diamondbacks. Yastrzemski has a 34.1% on base percentage, 0.416 SLG, and 0.238 batting average. Yastrzemski also has a 116 wRC+. Madison Bumgarner will be pitching for The Diamondbacks and has a 3.63 ERA, 16.5% strikeout rate, 4.75 xFIP and 1.36 HR/9. Available at DraftKings for -175 and BetMGM for -185.
Hunter Dozier (KC) Under 0.5 Total Runs
Hunter Dozier and the Kansas City Royals will be facing the Houston Astros. Dozier has a 32.4% on base percentage, 0.43 SLG, and 0.259 batting average. Dozier also has a 12.7% swinging strike percentage. Jake Odorizzi will be pitching for The Astros and has a 3.13 ERA, 16.4% strikeout rate, 4.91 xFIP and 0.28 HR/9. Available at BetMGM for -165 and DraftKings for -165.