MLB Games Today
It is Monday, September 12 and there are 9 MLB games today, including 1 double header! The first MLB game of the day starts at 1:10 PM EST.
Every day, we provide a list of the best MLB prop bets available. Here are today’s top MLB player prop bets for maximum profit. If you’re new and wondering the best way to start betting for profit, take a look at our useful getting started with baseball betting guide! And if you enjoy this article, make sure to share it!
Today’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets: Free MLB Bets & Predictions
We use our own statistics tools to identify the most profitable MLB prop bets available each day. We evaluate bets based on the expected probability of winning the bet as well as the potential profit of the bet. We’ve developed tools that allow us to find the highest ROI MLB bets every day. We highlight our favorite MLB prop bets on this site each day. We do our best to provide the best MLB bets as well as identifying the most profitable player props each day, however it’s important to always use good bankroll management when deciding how much to bet, take a look at our guide to bankroll management.
In our daily article we select our favorite bets of the day, and try to lay out why it could be a good bet to place using data. For each bet we share the data on the matchup and give you the most important statistics to make informed bets.
Always remember that game conditions and betting lines may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Alex Cobb (SF) Under 5.5 Total Strikeouts
Alex Cobb and the San Francisco Giants will be facing the Atlanta Braves. Cobb has a 3.68 ERA and 24.4% strikeout rate. Cobb has been averaging 1.0 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go at least 6.0 innings which seems unlikely. The Braves have a 24.5% strikeout rate and 13.0% swinging strike rate as well as a 19.3 ISO.
Framber Valdez (HOU) Under 6.5 Total Strikeouts
Framber Valdez and the Houston Astros will be facing the Detroit Tigers. Valdez has a 2.64 ERA and 23.1% strikeout rate. Valdez has been averaging 0.9 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go at least 7.7 innings which is not likely in this matchup. The Tigers have a 24.1% strikeout rate and 12.6% swinging strike rate as well as a 11.2 ISO.
Bryse Wilson (PIT) Over 2.5 Total Strikeouts
Bryse Wilson and the Pittsburgh Pirates will be facing the Cincinnati Reds. Bryse Wilson has a 6.11 ERA and 14.6% strikeout rate. Wilson has been averaging 0.7 strikeouts per inning, and this matchup should allow him to find strikeouts. The Reds have a 23.9% strikeout rate and 11.2% swinging strike rate as well as a 14.2 ISO.
Shohei Ohtani (LAA) Under 0.5 Total Runs
Shohei Ohtani and the Los Angeles Angels will be facing the Cleveland Guardians. Ohtani has a 35.5% on base percentage, 0.539 SLG, and 0.266 batting average. Ohtani also has a 12.6% swinging strike percentage. Konnor Pilkington will be pitching for The Guardians and has a 3.99 ERA, 18.8% strikeout rate, 4.92 xFIP and 0.76 HR/9. While Ohtani is definitely favored in this matchup, and him scoring a run is a reasonable outcome, this is a high value spot to sprinkle on a little bit.