Every day, we provide a list of the best MLB prop bets available. Here are today’s top MLB player prop bets for maximum profit. If you’re new and wondering the best way to start betting for profit, take a look at our useful getting started with baseball betting guide! And if you enjoy this article, make sure to share it!
Today’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets: Free MLB Bets & Predictions
We use our own statistics tools to identify the most profitable MLB prop bets available each day. We evaluate bets based on the expected probability of winning the bet as well as the potential profit of the bet. We’ve developed tools that allow us to find the highest ROI MLB bets every day. We highlight our favorite MLB prop bets on this site each day. We do our best to provide the best MLB bets as well as identifying the most profitable player props each day, however it’s important to always use good bankroll management when deciding how much to bet, take a look at our guide to bankroll management.
In our daily article we select our favorite bets of the day, and try to lay out why it could be a good bet to place using data. For each bet we share the data on the matchup and give you the most important statistics to make informed bets.
Always remember that game conditions and betting lines may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Luis Castillo (SEA) Under 6.5 Total Strikeouts
Luis Castillo and the Seattle Mariners will be facing the San Diego Padres. Castillo has a 2.81 ERA and 27.0% strikeout rate. The Padres have a 21.4% strikeout rate and 10.1% swinging strike rate as well as a 14.0 ISO. This matchup will likely be a challenge for Castillo, if he gets behind in the game, he’ll certainly be in a bad spot to find strikeouts
Carlos Rodon (SF) Under 7.5 Total Strikeouts
Carlos Rodon and the San Francisco Giants will be facing the Atlanta Braves. Rodon has a 2.93 ERA and 32.5% strikeout rate. Rodon has been averaging 1.3 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go at least 6.2 innings which could be tough in this matchup. The Braves have a 24.4% strikeout rate and 13.0% swinging strike rate as well as a 19.2 ISO.
Dylan Cease (CWS) Under 7.5 Total Strikeouts
Dylan Cease and the Chicago White Sox will be facing the Colorado Rockies. Cease has a 2.06 ERA and 31.6% strikeout rate. Cease has been averaging 1.3 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go at least 6.2 inning. In this matchup I expect Cease to struggle a bit. The Rockies have a 21.0% strikeout rate and 10.2% swinging strike rate as well as a 14.4 ISO.
Patrick Corbin (WSH) Over 3.5 Total Strikeouts
Patrick Corbin and the Washington Nationals will be facing the Baltimore Orioles. Patrick Corbin has a 6.3 ERA and 18.2% strikeout rate. Corbin has been averaging 0.9 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go at least 4.4 innings which is well within his range of outcomes. The Orioles have a 23.1% strikeout rate and 12.1% swinging strike rate as well as a 15.4 ISO.
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) Over 0.5 Total Hits
Paul Goldschmidt and the St. Louis Cardinals will be facing the Milwaukee Brewers. Goldschmidt has a 41.0% on base percentage, 0.602 SLG, and 0.322 batting average. Goldschmidt also has a 183 wRC+. Corbin Burnes will be pitching for The Brewers and has a 2.93 ERA, 31.3% strikeout rate, 2.93 xFIP and 1.05 HR/9.
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