Every day, we provide a list of the best MLB prop bets available. Here are today’s top MLB player prop bets for maximum profit. If you’re new and wondering the best way to start betting for profit, take a look at our useful getting started with baseball betting guide! And if you enjoy this article, make sure to share it!
Today’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets: Free MLB Bets & Predictions
We use our own statistics tools to identify the most profitable MLB prop bets available each day. We evaluate bets based on the expected probability of winning the bet as well as the potential profit of the bet. We’ve developed tools that allow us to find the highest ROI MLB bets every day. We highlight our favorite MLB prop bets on this site each day. We do our best to provide the best MLB bets as well as identifying the most profitable player props each day, however it’s important to always use good bankroll management when deciding how much to bet, take a look at our guide to bankroll management.
In our daily article we select our favorite bets of the day, and try to lay out why it could be a good bet to place using data. For each bet we share the data on the matchup and give you the most important statistics to make informed bets.
Always remember that game conditions and betting lines may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Jacob deGrom (NYM) Under 9.5 Total Strikeouts
Jacob deGrom and the New York Mets will be facing the Oakland Athletics. deGrom has a 2.32 ERA and 44.1% strikeout rate. deGrom has been averaging 1.6 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go at least 6.25 innings. This matchup is actually deceptively difficult in my opinion. The Athletics have a 23.8% strikeout rate and 12.2% swinging strike rate as well as a 12.9 ISO.
Alek Manoah (TOR) Over 4.5 Total Strikeouts
Alek Manoah and the Toronto Blue Jays will be facing the Tampa Bay Rays. Alek Manoah has a 2.4 ERA and 22.7% strikeout rate. Manoah has been averaging 0.9 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go over 5.0 innings which is extremely likely. The Rays have a 22.9% strikeout rate and 11.7% swinging strike rate as well as a 14.0 ISO.
Bailey Falter (PHI) Under 5.5 Total Strikeouts
Bailey Falter and the Philadelphia Phillies will be facing the Atlanta Braves. Falter has a 3.68 ERA and 20.4% strikeout rate. Falter has been averaging 0.8 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go at least 7.5 innings which seems very unlikely in this matchup. The Braves have a 24.5% strikeout rate and 12.9% swinging strike rate as well as a 18.9 ISO.
Framber Valdez (HOU) Under 6.5 Total Strikeouts
Framber Valdez and the Houston Astros will be facing the Baltimore Orioles. Valdez has a 2.57 ERA and 23.4% strikeout rate. This matchup will be tough if Valdez gets behind early. The Orioles have a 22.9% strikeout rate and 11.9% swinging strike rate as well as a 15.2 ISO.
Lane Thomas (WSH) Over 0.5 Total Hits
Lane Thomas and the Washington Nationals will be facing the Miami Marlins. Thomas has a 30.5% on base percentage, 0.423 SLG, and 0.249 batting average. Thomas also has a 102 wRC+. Sandy Alcantara will be pitching for The Marlins and has a 2.37 ERA, 22.7% strikeout rate, 3.37 xFIP and 0.63 HR/9.
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