MLB Games Today
It is Friday, September 30 and there are 16 MLB games today, including 1 double header! The first MLB game of the day starts at 1:05 PM EST.
Every day, we provide a list of the best MLB prop bets available. Here are today’s top MLB player prop bets for maximum profit. If you’re new and wondering the best way to start betting for profit, take a look at our useful getting started with baseball betting guide! And if you enjoy this article, make sure to share it!
Today’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets: Free MLB Bets & Predictions
We use our own statistics tools to identify the most profitable MLB prop bets available each day. We evaluate bets based on the expected probability of winning the bet as well as the potential profit of the bet. We’ve developed tools that allow us to find the highest ROI MLB bets every day. We highlight our favorite MLB prop bets on this site each day. We do our best to provide the best MLB bets as well as identifying the most profitable player props each day, however it’s important to always use good bankroll management when deciding how much to bet, take a look at our guide to bankroll management.
In our daily article we select our favorite bets of the day, and try to lay out why it could be a good bet to place using data. For each bet we share the data on the matchup and give you the most important statistics to make informed bets.
Always remember that game conditions and betting lines may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Merrill Kelly (ARI) Under 5.5 Total Strikeouts
Merrill Kelly and the Arizona Diamondbacks will be facing the San Francisco Giants. Kelly has a 3.13 ERA and 22.2% strikeout rate. Kelly has been averaging 0.9 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go at least 6.7 innings which seems unlikely. The Giants have a 24.0% strikeout rate and 11.0% swinging strike rate as well as a 15.5 ISO.
Jack Flaherty (STL) Over 5.5 Total Strikeouts
Jack Flaherty and the St. Louis Cardinals will be facing the Pittsburgh Pirates. Jack Flaherty has a 4.97 ERA and 18.7% strikeout rate. Although Jack has struggled a bit, this matchup should allow him to find plenty of strikeouts. The Pirates have a 25.7% strikeout rate and 11.2% swinging strike rate as well as a 14.2 ISO.
Glenn Otto (TEX) Over 3.5 Total Strikeouts
Glenn Otto and the Texas Rangers will be facing the Los Angeles Angels. Glenn Otto has a 4.73 ERA and 17.7% strikeout rate. Otto has been averaging 0.8 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go at least 5.0 innings which is extremely likely. The Angels have a 26.1% strikeout rate and 11.8% swinging strike rate as well as a 15.8 ISO.
Drew Rasmussen (TB) Over 3.5 Total Strikeouts
Drew Rasmussen and the Tampa Bay Rays will be facing the Houston Astros. Drew Rasmussen has a 2.85 ERA and 21.9% strikeout rate. Rasmussen has been averaging 0.9 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go at least 4.4 innings which is well within his range. The Astros have a 19.5% strikeout rate and 10.2% swinging strike rate as well as a 17.6 ISO.
Anthony Rizzo (NYY) Over 0.5 Total Hits
Anthony Rizzo and the New York Yankees will be facing the Baltimore Orioles. Rizzo has a 34.2% on base percentage, 0.494 SLG, and 0.228 batting average. Rizzo also has a 137 wRC+. Jordan Lyles will be pitching for The Orioles and has a 4.55 ERA, 18.0% strikeout rate, 4.48 xFIP and 1.31 HR/9.
PrizePicks Plays
Do you play PrizePicks? Check out our MLB PrizePicks plays today!