Every day, we provide a list of the best MLB prop bets available. Here are today’s top MLB player prop bets for maximum profit. If you’re new and wondering the best way to start betting for profit, take a look at our useful getting started with baseball betting guide! And if you enjoy this article, make sure to share it!
Today’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets: Free MLB Bets & Predictions
We use our own statistics tools to identify the most profitable MLB prop bets available each day. We evaluate bets based on the expected probability of winning the bet as well as the potential profit of the bet. We’ve developed tools that allow us to find the highest ROI MLB bets every day. We highlight our favorite MLB prop bets on this site each day. We do our best to provide the best MLB bets as well as identifying the most profitable player props each day, however it’s important to always use good bankroll management when deciding how much to bet, take a look at our guide to bankroll management.
In our daily article we select our favorite bets of the day, and try to lay out why it could be a good bet to place using data. For each bet we share the data on the matchup and give you the most important statistics to make informed bets.
Always remember that game conditions and betting lines may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Luis Severino (NYY) Under 6.5 Total Strikeouts
Luis Severino and the New York Yankees will be facing the Houston Astros. Severino has a 3.38 ERA and 29.7% strikeout rate. The Astros have a 20.0% strikeout rate and 10.4% swinging strike rate as well as a 18.0 ISO. Available at BetMGM for -130, FanDuel for -145, and DraftKings for -135.
Luis Garcia (HOU) Under 5.5 Total Strikeouts
Luis Garcia and the Houston Astros will be facing the New York Yankees. Garcia has a 3.68 ERA and 25.5% strikeout rate. Garcia has been averaging 1.0 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go at least 6.0 innings which seems unlikely today. The Yankees have a 21.9% strikeout rate and 11.0% swinging strike rate as well as a 19.5 ISO. Available at FanDuel for -135.
Adrian Houser (MIL) Over 3.5 Total Strikeouts
Adrian Houser and the Milwaukee Brewers will be facing the Pittsburgh Pirates. Adrian Houser has a 4.5 ERA and 17.6% strikeout rate. Houser has been averaging 0.8 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go at least 5.0 innings which seems likely. The Pirates have a 25.4% strikeout rate and 10.6% swinging strike rate as well as a 14.7 ISO. Available at FanDuel for -170.
Logan Gilbert (SEA) Over 5.5 Total Strikeouts
Logan Gilbert and the Seattle Mariners will be facing the Oakland Athletics. Logan Gilbert has a 2.44 ERA and 24.9% strikeout rate. Gilbert has been averaging 1.0 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go at least 6.0 innings which is extremely likely. The Athletics have a 23.5% strikeout rate and 12.0% swinging strike rate as well as a 11.6 ISO. Available at BetMGM for -130, FanDuel for -135, and DraftKings for -135.
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) Under 0.5 Total Runs
Marcell Ozuna and the Atlanta Braves will be facing the Philadelphia Phillies. Ozuna has a 27.9% on base percentage, 0.405 SLG, and 0.222 batting average. Ozuna also has a 12.7% swinging strike percentage. Aaron Nola will be pitching for The Phillies and has a 2.98 ERA, 29.2% strikeout rate, 2.88 xFIP and 0.93 HR/9. Available at BetMGM for -165 and DraftKings for -165.
Home Run Prop Bets Today
Hitting a home run is one of the highest variance aspects about a baseball game. The best hitters in the league only have about a 10% Home Run Rate per At-bat (Total Home Runs/Total At Bats), meaning 90% of at bats they will not hit a home run. Because of this, we only recommend home run props when we find a favorable matchup and profitable odds. However, it’s always important to practice proper bankroll management and treat home run props like a secondary bet – sprinkle a little bit on for the sweat.
Steven Kwan (CLE) Over 0.5 Total Home Runs
Steven Kwan and the Cleveland Guardians will be facing the Minnesota Twins. Kwan has a 37.4% on base percentage, 0.371 SLG, and 0.288 batting average. Kwan also has a 118 wRC+. Chris Archer will be pitching for The Twins and has a 3.14 ERA, 18.6% strikeout rate, 4.77 xFIP and 1.26 HR/9. Available at DraftKings for +900 and BetMGM for +800.
J.P. Crawford (SEA) Over 0.5 Total Home Runs
J.P. Crawford and the Seattle Mariners will be facing the Oakland Athletics. Crawford has a 34.3% on base percentage, 0.381 SLG, and 0.261 batting average. Crawford also has a 116 wRC+. Adrian Martinez will be pitching for The Athletics and has a 14.3% strikeout rate and 4.5 xFIP. Available at DraftKings for +750 and BetMGM for +700.