MLB Games Today
It is Thursday, August 11 and there are 8 MLB games today! The first MLB game of the day starts at 1:05 PM EST.
Every day, we provide a list of the best MLB prop bets available. Here are today’s top MLB player prop bets for maximum profit. If you’re new and wondering the best way to start betting for profit, take a look at our useful getting started with baseball betting guide! And if you enjoy this article, make sure to share it!
Today’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets: Free MLB Bets & Predictions
We use our own statistics tools to identify the most profitable MLB prop bets available each day. We evaluate bets based on the expected probability of winning the bet as well as the potential profit of the bet. We’ve developed tools that allow us to find the highest ROI MLB bets every day. We highlight our favorite MLB prop bets on this site each day. We do our best to provide the best MLB bets as well as identifying the most profitable player props each day, however it’s important to always use good bankroll management when deciding how much to bet, take a look at our guide to bankroll management.
In our daily article we select our favorite bets of the day, and try to lay out why it could be a good bet to place using data. For each bet we share the data on the matchup and give you the most important statistics to make informed bets.
Always remember that game conditions and betting lines may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Dakota Hudson (STL) Over 2.5 Total Strikeouts
Dakota Hudson and the St. Louis Cardinals will be facing the Colorado Rockies. Dakota Hudson has a 4.2 ERA and 12.7% strikeout rate. Hudson has been averaging 0.5 strikeouts per inning, but this matchup should allow him to go deep ennough to find a few strikeouts. The Rockies have a 20.5% strikeout rate and 10.1% swinging strike rate as well as a 14.5 ISO. Available at DraftKings for -150.
Merrill Kelly (ARI) Under 5.5 Total Strikeouts
Merrill Kelly and the Arizona Diamondbacks will be facing the Pittsburgh Pirates. Kelly has a 2.86 ERA and 20.6% strikeout rate. Kelly has been averaging 0.8 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go at least 7.5 innings which seems unlikely today. The Pirates have a 25.4% strikeout rate and 10.7% swinging strike rate as well as a 14.3 ISO. Available at DraftKings for -145 and FanDuel for -160.
Dylan Cease (CWS) Under 7.5 Total Strikeouts
Dylan Cease and the Chicago White Sox will be facing the Kansas City Royals. Cease has a 1.98 ERA and 32.8% strikeout rate. Although he’s been pitching well, this matchup will be tough to get strikeouts. The Royals have a 21.1% strikeout rate and 11.0% swinging strike rate as well as a 13.6 ISO. Available at DraftKings for -130 and FanDuel for -135.
Kyle Gibson (PHI) Over 4.5 Total Strikeouts
Kyle Gibson and the Philadelphia Phillies will be facing the Miami Marlins. Kyle Gibson has a 4.36 ERA and 18.4% strikeout rate. Gibson has been averaging 0.8 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go at least 6.25 which is definitely in his range of outcomes. The Marlins have a 23.5% strikeout rate and 11.9% swinging strike rate as well as a 13.5 ISO. Available at FanDuel for -150, BetMGM for -155, and DraftKings for -155.
Trey Mancini (HOU) Over 0.5 Total Hits
Trey Mancini and the Houston Astros will be facing the Texas Rangers. Mancini has a 34.3% on base percentage, 0.421 SLG, and 0.268 batting average. Mancini also has a 117 wRC+. Cole Ragans will be pitching for The Rangers and has a 0.0 ERA, 13.6% strikeout rate, 6.1 xFIP and 0.0 HR/9. Available at BetMGM for -175 and DraftKings for -175.