Every day, we provide a list of the best MLB prop bets available. Here are today’s top MLB player prop bets for maximum profit. If you’re new and wondering the best way to start betting for profit, take a look at our useful getting started with baseball betting guide! And if you enjoy this article, make sure to share it!
Today’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets: Free MLB Bets & Predictions
We use our own statistics tools to identify the most profitable MLB prop bets available each day. We evaluate bets based on the expected probability of winning the bet as well as the potential profit of the bet. We’ve developed tools that allow us to find the highest ROI MLB bets every day. We highlight our favorite MLB prop bets on this site each day. We do our best to provide the best MLB bets as well as identifying the most profitable player props each day, however it’s important to always use good bankroll management when deciding how much to bet, take a look at our guide to bankroll management.
In our daily article we select our favorite bets of the day, and try to lay out why it could be a good bet to place using data. For each bet we share the data on the matchup and give you the most important statistics to make informed bets.
Always remember that game conditions and betting lines may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Wade Miley (CHC) Under 4.5 Total Strikeouts
Wade Miley and the Chicago Cubs will be facing the Miami Marlins. Miley has a 2.89 ERA and 20.0% strikeout rate. While his pitching has been fine, Miley’s strikeout efficiency has been a bit low. In this matchup I expect hitters to have a slight advantage. The Marlins have a 23.9% strikeout rate and 11.9% swinging strike rate as well as a 13.2 ISO.
Max Scherzer (NYM) Under 6.5 Total Strikeouts
Max Scherzer and the New York Mets will be facing the Milwaukee Brewers. Scherzer has a 2.26 ERA and 30.6% strikeout rate. Scherzer has been averaging 1.2 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go at least 5.8 innings which could go either way. This will be Scherzer’s first start after being on the IL. The Brewers have a 23.7% strikeout rate and 10.5% swinging strike rate as well as a 17.6 ISO.
I expect that Max Scherzer wouldn’t come back if he weren’t 100%, but there is always a chance of some lingering rust around first games back. This is by no means a sure bet, but situationally it could be worth a shot.
Cory Abbott (WSH) Under 4.5 Total Strikeouts
Cory Abbott and the Washington Nationals will be facing the Atlanta Braves. Abbott has a 4.37 ERA and 20.8% strikeout rate. This will likely be a tough outing for Abbott to stay ahead. The Braves have a 24.5% strikeout rate and 13.0% swinging strike rate as well as a 19.1 ISO.
Tyler Alexander (DET) Over 2.5 Total Strikeouts
Tyler Alexander and the Detroit Tigers will be facing the Baltimore Orioles. Tyler Alexander has a 5.35 ERA and 12.3% strikeout rate. Alexander has been averaging 0.5 strikeouts per inning, but this matchup could be a good one for Alexander. The Orioles have a 23.0% strikeout rate and 12.0% swinging strike rate as well as a 15.4 ISO.
Christian Walker (ARI) Over 0.5 Total Hits
Christian Walker and the Arizona Diamondbacks will be facing the Los Angeles Dodgers. Walker has a 32.7% on base percentage, 0.479 SLG, and 0.236 batting average. Walker also has a 122 wRC+. Clayton Kershaw will be pitching for The Dodgers and has a 2.44 ERA, 26.6% strikeout rate, 2.98 xFIP and 0.7 HR/9.
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