MLB Games Today
It is Wednesday, September 28 and there are 15 MLB games today! The first MLB game of the day starts at 12:35 PM EST.
Every day, we provide a list of the best MLB prop bets available. Here are today’s top MLB player prop bets for maximum profit. If you’re new and wondering the best way to start betting for profit, take a look at our useful getting started with baseball betting guide! And if you enjoy this article, make sure to share it!
Today’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets: Free MLB Bets & Predictions
We use our own statistics tools to identify the most profitable MLB prop bets available each day. We evaluate bets based on the expected probability of winning the bet as well as the potential profit of the bet. We’ve developed tools that allow us to find the highest ROI MLB bets every day. We highlight our favorite MLB prop bets on this site each day. We do our best to provide the best MLB bets as well as identifying the most profitable player props each day, however it’s important to always use good bankroll management when deciding how much to bet, take a look at our guide to bankroll management.
In our daily article we select our favorite bets of the day, and try to lay out why it could be a good bet to place using data. For each bet we share the data on the matchup and give you the most important statistics to make informed bets.
Always remember that game conditions and betting lines may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Martin Perez (TEX) Under 5.5 Total Strikeouts
Martin Perez and the Texas Rangers will be facing the Seattle Mariners. Perez has a 2.9 ERA and 21.3% strikeout rate. Perez has been averaging 0.9 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go at least 6.7 innings which seems unlikely. The Mariners have a 22.6% strikeout rate and 10.6% swinging strike rate as well as a 16.0 ISO.
Triston McKenzie (CLE) Under 6.5 Total Strikeouts
Triston McKenzie and the Cleveland Guardians will be facing the Tampa Bay Rays. McKenzie has a 3.04 ERA and 25.7% strikeout rate. McKenzie has been averaging 1.0 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go at least 7.0 innings. This will be a tougher matchup for McKenzie I think. The Rays have a 23.1% strikeout rate and 11.7% swinging strike rate as well as a 13.9 ISO.
Dean Kremer (BAL) Under 4.5 Total Strikeouts
Dean Kremer and the Baltimore Orioles will be facing the Boston Red Sox. Kremer has a 3.07 ERA and 17.4% strikeout rate. Kremer has been averaging 0.7 strikeouts per inning, which would require him to go over 7.0 innings which seems really unlikely today. The Red Sox have a 22.4% strikeout rate and 11.8% swinging strike rate as well as a 15.2 ISO.
Luis Cessa (CIN) Over 3.5 Total Strikeouts
Luis Cessa and the Cincinnati Reds will be facing the Pittsburgh Pirates. Luis Cessa has a 4.78 ERA and 18.2% strikeout rate. This matchup really favors Cessa because the hitters are just bad… He should be able to find strikeouts. The Pirates have a 25.7% strikeout rate and 11.2% swinging strike rate as well as a 14.3 ISO.
Pete Alonso (NYM) Over 0.5 Total Hits
Pete Alonso and the New York Mets will be facing the Miami Marlins. Alonso has a 34.8% on base percentage, 0.524 SLG, and 0.27 batting average. Alonso also has a 143 wRC+. Jesus Luzardo will be pitching for The Marlins and has a 3.57 ERA, 28.9% strikeout rate, 3.31 xFIP and 0.92 HR/9.
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